Ken Caldeira

Climate and Carbon-cycle Modeling Group, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, California, USA

"The Cycle of Greenhouse Gases"
Carbon dioxide is one of the most important greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, and its atmospheric content is thought to bear a somewhat complicated relationship with solar luminosity. On long time scales (i.e., longer than several hundred thousand years), atmospheric CO2 content adjusts to largely compensate for changes in solar luminosity such that the surface temperature of the Earth is relative stable. However, on shorter time scales (i.e, thousands of years and less), changes in atmospheric carbon dioxide content amplify the effect of changes in solar luminosity on Earth's surface temperature. This behavior occurs because longer time scale changes in atmospheric CO2 content are governed by the weathering of silicate minerals in soils, whereas shorter time scale changes are largely governed by the partitioning of carbon between the atmosphere and oceans. In this presentation, I will review the global carbon cycle, and, using a geochemical model, quantify the response of the carbon cycle to changes in solar variability as a function of frequency and amplitude of that variability.


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